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Prediction for CME (2019-03-08T04:17:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2019-03-08T04:17ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14544/-1 CME Note: Large eruption from AR 2734 at 03:11Z. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-03-12T02:00Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-03-12T03:52Z (-4.0h, +4.0h) Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Prediction Method Note: % Compiled module: EAM_V2. ************************************************************************************** Vo = 340 km/s u_r = 390.7 km/s Acceleration: 0.21 m/s^2 Duration in seconds: 344111.00 Duration in days: 3.9827662 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 0.21 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 463.4 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 12/03/2019 Time: 03:52 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 65.50 hour(s) Difference: -1.87 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2019-03-09T08:30Z |
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